My new prognostication is that cinemas move to a tiered admission pricing structure - having different admission pricing dependent upon the movie being screened. Blockbuster tentpoles premium priced while lesser films a regular admission price. This simple tactic will get more people back to the cinema again and would keep them coming back.
As cinemas reopen they are realizing that their bargaining power has been lost. For example, if they wanted to screen 'Wonder Woman 1984' they had to accept a very shortened exclusive window. Rebuilding the Theatrical Model Both the studios and exhibitors know that the 90 day exclusive release window is now history. What remains is a studio-by-studio negociation for release rules and, I believe, it will be a film-by-film model. For example, 'Fast and Furious 9' would warrant a longer window than a lesser film. I don't believe that the major blockbuster films will go day-and-date that often. However, the exclusive window would be weeks and not months.
Universal has worked out a deal with AMC, Cinemark, and Cineplex whereby the exhibs will get a piece of the digital profits of certain films to compensate for the shortened release window. This may be the best scenario for all concerned.
Consumers are now used to viewing films in the comfort of home-viewing, but there is a tremendous pent-up desire by people to get out of their homes and experience the full scale and impact that only the silver screen can bring. This is where the tiered pricing comes into play. Consumers are now used to paying a low subscriber price for their movie viewing - mostly in the $10-15/month range for any of the streamers. Cinemas will not be able to have a one-price-fits-all for films. They cannot charge, say a flat $12 (or $20 in NYC and LA) to see any film on the marquee - that model justs doesn't work any more. The COVID pandemic, in the long-term, may turn out to have been a good thing for the cinema industry if you agree that the changes it forced were going to happen in time anyway.