There is no point to recapping last weekend's box office as it was a mirror image of the prior week with Lion King 3D topping the chart.
The U.S. box office continues to stumble through September at stall speed so it is a good bet that the folks are waiting for the big holiday grossers before returning and as we move into award season. So, I'll concentrate on the future instead of the past.
This upcoming weekend (9/30) will see the release of 50/50 - a comedy which should do a respectable amount of business, Courageous - a feel-good, faith-based flix which will not click, Dream House - a good horror/ murder drama (with for real newly weds Daniel Craig and Rachel Weisz) will also do respectable business, and finally, What's Your Number - a comedy cum chick flix ala Bridesmaids which may be the big winner this weekend, as the folks need a good laugh.
Moving forward, October and November offer up more comedies and a few , yes, we know they are going to gross big, films.
10/7 weekend
Ides of March - Clooney in a political drama with a great supporting cast has real box office potential. Restless - a romantic tear-jerker offers little hope, Wonderlust - comedy about urban couple that goes counter-culture may have a little steam, and The Way - drama directed by Estevez that stars father Sheen, I don't think it will work at the b.o.
The Big Year - this comedy about bird watching w/ Black, Martin, and Wilson will be a big grosser in fact the TV marketing has already started.
Footloose, a redo of 80's hit with a twist could be a sleeper, The Thing, a prequel to the '82 thriller may also have appeal. So this weekend will be the best in quite awhile.
10/21 weekend
Dirty Girl - a coming of age drama set in '87 could have potential and if good will have word-of-mouth push, Paranormal Activity 3 - a Halloween scary and 3rd installment for the horror mini franchise will pull them in, and The Three Musketeers - old story, new faces, for me a no-go.
10/28 weekend
The Skin I Live In - drama about plastic surgeon and use of synthetic skin, will be ok earner, Anonymous - who was William Shakespeare (he/she) who knows, a great cast, could do ok for a few weeks, In-Time - sci-fi about aging and immortality for sale, not much potential here, Johnny English Reborn - Mr. Bean as secret agent, no real draw here, Martha Marey May Marlene - drama with good cast and Academy considerations, may do very well even with long ambiguous title, and finally Safe - high-impacter with Jason Statram (who seems to be in every other film) which will do very well.
A Very Harold & Kumar 3D Christmas - a sequel to the very popular film picks up where the last H & K left off only six years later, it will do business, Puss in Boots, Shrek character gets top billing in this animated comedy that will be great b.o., Tower Heist, thriller/comedy with big cast that will also pull them in. This will be a big b.o. weekend.
11/11 weekend
The prior weekend flixs will still be doing very well and adding to those will be J.Edgar - bio on FBI's first chief cook and bottle washer, really not much interest but you never know, Jack and Jill - Thanksgiving comedy with very good cast, this will do well.
11/18 weekend
Happy Feet Two - penguins always do well and this should not disappoint. The Twilight Saga - Breaking Dawn Part 1 - a big one and next to last installment in this very successful franchise. This will be another great b.o. weekend.
Lets stop here and save the last half of November and the December releases to later. Comedies will rule over the next 6 weeks and from the looks of things will be much better than the last 6.
Best and Happy Movie Going !
Jim Lavorato
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